Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.960886 1.178367 1.411816 1.678830 1.973670 2.287352 2.644405
2024-10-06 0.664670 0.953040 1.288748 1.698916 2.177827 2.711634 3.344227
2024-10-13 0.502502 0.816686 1.205671 1.703252 2.305637 2.996495 3.834688
2024-10-20 0.370071 0.690073 1.112529 1.677496 2.384547 3.216035 4.245236
2024-10-27 0.330972 0.678284 1.156549 1.813983 2.653100 3.654209 4.907335
2024-11-03 0.293887 0.661440 1.188430 1.931285 2.896114 4.061669 5.534670
2024-11-10 0.262473 0.646700 1.218732 2.043409 3.130881 4.458673 6.150274
2024-11-17 0.235875 0.634496 1.249286 2.153753 3.362476 4.851996 6.762759
2024-11-24 0.197473 0.594626 1.234485 2.198748 3.507455 5.137217 7.244156
2024-12-01 0.156958 0.542007 1.194536 2.204338 3.597766 5.352343 7.639006
2024-12-08 0.111311 0.466669 1.110764 2.141242 3.592105 5.443192 7.878537
2024-12-15 0.073976 0.395109 1.023910 2.066416 3.565011 5.502530 8.075621
2024-12-22 0.049859 0.346880 0.974740 2.050454 3.625598 5.685723 8.443746
2024-12-29 0.035713 0.319112 0.958825 2.084179 3.755885 5.961700 8.932799
2025-01-05 0.022584 0.284319 0.924458 2.085161 3.837209 6.171494 9.336433
2025-01-12 0.011749 0.244792 0.874686 2.057475 3.875113 6.322625 9.664912
2025-01-19 0.011540 0.258606 0.935054 2.210733 4.175353 6.824132 10.444332
2025-01-26 0.010404 0.266126 0.982190 2.342614 4.445502 7.286829 11.175800
2025-02-02 0.009124 0.271728 1.025222 2.468105 4.707187 7.739425 11.896001
2025-02-09 0.007901 0.276619 1.066696 2.591396 4.966459 8.189950 12.615180
2025-02-16 0.004879 0.262555 1.065097 2.641573 5.118515 8.496987 13.150228
2025-02-23 0.002053 0.238818 1.038691 2.647808 5.204825 8.715102 13.570458
2025-03-02 0.000176 0.199834 0.970231 2.577427 5.174618 8.773807 13.782841